Terra (LUNA) and Terra Classic (LUNC) Slowing Momentum, Is $1 Still a Realistic Goal?

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The crypto market is riding a rollercoaster, with Bitcoin’s surge to $38,000 stirring excitement, only to cool off with a recent 4% dip. This volatility keeps everyone on edge, especially as the SEC plays a game of wait-and-see with various ETF proposals. Bitcoin’s current standing around $36,500 mirrors this uncertainty. Meanwhile, altcoins like Terra Classic (LUNC) and Terra (LUNA) are feeling the heat too, with their prices dipping by more than 4% and 11%, respectively.

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Recently, the Terra Luna Classic (LUNC) community made a bold move to reboot their ecosystem. They unanimously agreed to stop USTC minting by cranking up the Tobin tax to 100%. This strategic decision is part of a larger plan to revive both the token and its ecosystem. The effects were immediate, with LUNC and even LUNA prices jumping by 7% and 16% in a week.

In a twist of fate, Do Kwon, the former head of Terraform Labs, is caught in legal turmoil. Convicted of passport fraud in Montenegro, he and his associate, Han Chang-joon, are facing a four-month prison sentence. Despite their appeal, the court stood firm. Kwon’s troubles extend beyond Montenegro; he’s wanted in the U.S. and South Korea for his role in the TerraUSD and Terra (LUNA) collapse, which wiped out $40 billion. The SEC is also on his tail for alleged securities violations.

Amidst these legal battles, Terraform Labs is holding its ground, operating under new leadership and dodging bankruptcy as of November 2023. Kwon is fighting back too, challenging the SEC’s case against him. He’s arguing that Terra Luna Classic (LUNC) and related assets aren’t securities as the SEC claims, hoping to get the case thrown out without a trial. It’s a high-stakes drama, with Terraform Labs navigating through stormy legal waters while trying to stay afloat.

Terra (LUNA) is currently exhibiting some interesting patterns in its technical analysis, trading between its first support level at $0.6429 and the first resistance level at $0.7676. The MACD level sits at -0.0016, indicating a potential for change in the trend direction. The RSI at 40.046 suggests that LUNA is neither overbought nor oversold, providing a neutral stance for the asset. 

Source: TradingView

The simple moving averages (SMA) and exponential moving averages (EMA) for 10, 30, 100, and 200 days are hovering closely around the $0.6552 to $0.6609 range, suggesting a consolidation phase.

Terra (LUNA) Bullish Scenario

If Terra (LUNA) breaks above $0.7676, it could aim for the second resistance level at $0.8468. This sustained move, coupled with an uptick in the MACD and a rise in the RSI above the median line, would indicate growing bullish momentum. If the market sentiment remains positive and buying pressure increases, LUNA might even target the third resistance level at $0.9714. For this to occur, it would also be crucial for the SMAs and EMAs to show an upward trend, reaffirming the bullish momentum.

Terra (LUNA) Bearish Scenario

Conversely, if Terra (LUNA) fails to hold above $0.6429 and drops below this level, it could test the second support at $0.5974. A negative crossover in the MACD, coupled with a dip in the RSI below 40, would signal increasing bearish pressure. Should the selling intensify, LUNA might even descend to its third support level at $0.4728. Additionally, if the SMAs and EMAs start to trend downwards, it would further confirm the bearish outlook, suggesting that Terra (LUNA) could be entering a downtrend.

Analyzing Terra Classic (LUNC) involves examining a complex tapestry of technical indicators to forecast its potential price movements. Currently, LUNC is trading at $0.000078, neatly positioned between its first support level at $0.00007399 and the first resistance level at $0.00008355. 

Source: TradingView

The MACD level  stands at -0.00000014, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The RSI at 36.545 hints at a slightly bearish momentum, as it’s closer to the oversold territory. The SMAs and EMAs for various periods are all hovering around the $0.000078 mark, suggesting a consolidation phase.

Terra Classic (LUNC) Bullish Scenario

If Terra Classic (LUNC) breaks above $0.00008355, it could signal a change in sentiment, potentially paving the way for a move towards the second resistance level. A break above $0.00008935 could further solidify the bullish case, potentially targeting the third resistance at $0.00009891. For this scenario to unfold, a significant increase in buying pressure is essential. This could be catalyzed by positive developments within the LUNC ecosystem or broader market trends favoring altcoins. Traders would closely monitor the MACD for a potential bullish crossover and the RSI for a move towards the 50-70 range, which would indicate increasing bullish momentum.

Terra Classic (LUNC) Bearish Scenario

However, should LUNC break below $0.00007399, it may confirm a bearish trend, potentially leading to a test of the second support level. A breach below $0.00007023 could exacerbate the bearish sentiment, aiming for the third support level at $0.00006067. Such a downturn might be driven by negative news affecting investor confidence or broader market downturns. Technical indicators would play a crucial role here, with traders watching for a further decline in the MACD and RSI dipping below 30, which could signify an oversold condition but also a stronger bearish grip on the market. The convergence of SMAs and EMAs below the $0.000078 price level would also reinforce the bearish outlook.

Terra (LUNA) and Terra Classic (LUNC) are riding the crypto rollercoaster, with each day bringing new challenges and opportunities. For Terra, it’s like walking a tightrope – every market mood swing and internal change can tip the balance, pushing it towards either a bullish breakthrough or a bearish setback. Meanwhile, Terra Classic (LUNC) finds itself in a tight spot, teetering on the edge of significant price moves. The community’s push to bring stability and growth to LUNC adds a hopeful note to its story, but there’s a catch – the ongoing legal drama around Terraform Labs throws in a curveball of uncertainty.

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